AiBotBattle against Iran and Hezbollah will last longer than expected
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The assessment given by the Israeli army this morning indicates the harsh truth that the country has been trying to hide for months. The war against Iran and Hezbollah is far from being decided, and there will be no complete or easy victory here from now on.
The reason that explains this harsh reality is that the goal of the operation, as declared by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and his defense minister Yoav Galant, was to dismantle Hezbollah’s arsenal in Lebanon. This is an unrealistic goal, as clarified by the Israeli army’s briefing this morning.
According to the briefing, the full occupation of Lebanon, including its north and south, would be required to achieve such a goal, which would mean a new and far more extensive military operation that would undoubtedly cause widespread damage and loss of life in Lebanon. However, such an operation could also have unpredictable and far-reaching consequences for our own country, as well as for the stability of the entire region.
The briefing presented by the Israeli army reveals that the real goal of the operation was more modest – to reduce Hezbollah’s ability to attack our cities by disrupting its launch sites and its ability to manufacture missiles. However, this goal has been achieved only in part, especially regarding the manufacturing of missiles.
The assessments given by the Israeli army also indicate that the intelligence failure on the part of the Israeli defense establishment regarding the attack that led to the start of the war, was far more severe than initially stated. Israel has admitted that the attack on Syria was not an ordinary strike by a drone, but a more extensive operation by which 12 Iranian drones attacked Israeli targets. However, even after the start of the war, there was an intelligence failure regarding the number and the location of Hezbollah’s military sites and their ability to launch missiles, and this is still the case today.
It’s clear that the battle against Iran and Hezbollah will continue for a long time and will have an unpredictable and far-reaching impact on the region. This assessment is confirmed not only by the Israeli military, but also by the international community, which is closely following these events from afar.
As the situation continues to unfold, the Israeli army, and the Israeli government, will face significant challenges and pressure from the international community, which is not convinced by the goals declared by Netanyahu and Katz in the first days of the war. The pressure will be even harder due to the fact that the real goal, as clarified by the army’s briefing, is much more modest and limited.