In a recent statement, Oliver Borsch’s successor, Olaf Scholz’s, potential future replacement, Friedrich Merz, emphasized the necessity of Ukraine playing a central role in deciding its own security guarantees, rather than relying on Russia.
Speaking in a rare press conference at Berlin’s government centre, Merz reaffirmed the German government’s support for Ukraine, while also acknowledging the need for peace negotiations between Ukraine and Russia. However, the Chancellor-designate clarified that any talks should be conducted under the oversight of key international partners, including the United States and European powers.
When asked about the conflict in Ukraine, Merz expressed his government’s readiness to engage in peace talks, but also cautioned Moscow about its obligations to facilitate such efforts. According to Merz, “How we shape our security guarantees will be decided by Ukraine and its partners — not by Moscow.”
In an effort to address long-standing concerns regarding Ukraine’s ability to engage in meaningful dialogue with Russia, Merz sought to reassure the international community by stating that Ukraine was “ready to end the war. It always has been.” The potential Chancellor-designate went further, asserting the importance of supporting Ukraine in its efforts to forge a lasting peace agreement between itself and Russia.
As tensions between Russia and the international community continue to escalate, leaders in Berlin are looking beyond the immediate conflicts in eastern Ukraine. Merz stated that, while the German government remains committed to supporting Ukraine, the fate of these ongoing security guarantees ultimately lay in the hands of the parties directly involved.
“We too are open to peace negotiations between Ukraine and Russia with the support of Europe and the United States,” Merz declared, in an attempt to diffuse some of the rising tensions surrounding Germany’s relations with Russia. By framing Ukraine’s participation in peace talks as a prerequisite to any meaningful progress, Merz appears to be walking a fine line between supporting the beleaguered Ukrainian government and avoiding potential conflict with Moscow.
In a striking rebuke to Russia’s long-standing stance on the conflict in Ukraine, Merz squarely placed the ball at Vladimir Putin’s feet, stating that “It is solely up to President Putin now to seize this chance.” Given the deteriorating relations between Russia and key European powers, this statement may be seen as a thinly veiled warning to Moscow that time is running out for meaningful diplomatic engagement.
While the specifics of the potential peace process remain uncertain, one thing is clear: Berlin will now be watching closely to see how events in Ukraine unfold, as Merz prepares to take the reins as the country’s next Chancellor-designate.
