In a move considered unprecedented in Israeli politics, former US President Donald Trump has yet to endorse incumbent Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu ahead of the country’s highly anticipated October general election. The unexpected delay marks a significant departure from Trump’s traditionally close and outspoken relationship with Netanyahu, who is currently grappling with a dismal performance in domestic polls.
According to recent surveys, Netanyahu’s Likud party has seen a substantial decline in popularity, leaving it trailing behind its main rival, the centrist Blue and White party, which enjoys a significant lead. The poll results have heightened fears of a potential electoral upset that could end Netanyahu’s 12-year tenure as Prime Minister.
The decision to withhold an endorsement is seen as a calculated bet by Trump, who has a reputation for weighing in on pivotal international elections. While a statement expressing support for Netanyahu had been largely expected, some analysts speculate that Trump’s reticence may be a deliberate attempt to preserve distance and neutrality, or possibly even a subtle hint at reservations regarding Netanyahu’s prospects.
Regardless of the motivations behind his decision, Trump’s silence has created an air of unease among Netanyahu’s camp. Historically, high-profile endorsements from Trump have played a vital role in elevating Israeli politicians’ profiles, particularly those associated with the conservative right. However, the current election cycle appears to have changed dynamics, highlighting the limitations of Trump’s influence in Israel.
Netanyahu, 72, is seeking a record fifth consecutive term as Prime Minister. His opponents, meanwhile, have capitalized on his sagging popularity and vowed to implement policy changes that cater to a broader, more moderate Israeli public. A recent poll by Israel’s Channel 12 revealed 44% of respondents would vote for a Blue and White-Israeli Arab Joint List government, leaving Likud trailing behind at approximately 32% support.
In light of the mounting pressure, Netanyahu’s team has shifted focus from seeking Trump’s backing to mobilizing support among domestic constituents. The Prime Minister’s office has also downplayed the significance of Trump’s endorsement, arguing that international backing was never the primary determinant of a successful Israeli government.
Trump and Netanyahu have enjoyed an exceptionally close relationship, dating back to the US President’s tenure. Prior to the US presidential election, Netanyahu was one of the few world leaders to publicly endorse Trump, further solidifying their affinity. Now, as the former US President chooses his words carefully, many wonder what the future holds for Netanyahu and Israel’s conservative bloc.
