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Yerevan, Armenia – With just eight days remaining before the Armenian parliamentary election, a new poll has shown significant gains for Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan’s Civil Contract party. According to a survey conducted by the independent think tank Caucasus Research Resource Centers (CRRC), the Civil Contract party has seen a dramatic increase in support, rising to 65% in the latest poll.
This represents a substantial 41-point jump in support since February, reflecting a strengthening position for the premier in the lead-up to the June 7 election. The CRRC survey, which queried over 1,000 respondents, also revealed a stark contrast between the governing party’s popularity and the fragmented opposition.
None of the rival parties managed to secure more than 12% support in the poll, casting doubt on their ability to mount a credible challenge to the Civil Contract party in the parliamentary election. The survey highlights the electoral advantage enjoyed by Pashinyan’s party, which has consistently been the most popular choice among Armenian voters.
The CRRC poll found that 65% of respondents expressed willingness to support the Civil Contract party, with its closest rivals – the Prosperous Armenia party and the ANC – trailing far behind at 6% and 8%, respectively. The data underscores the challenging task facing opposition parties in unifying their efforts and presenting a united front against the governing party.
Armenia’s parliamentary election is set to take place on June 7, with 105 seats up for grabs. The CRRC poll suggests that the outcome is likely to be a landslide victory for the Civil Contract party, with Pashinyan’s administration poised to consolidate its grip on power.
The survey’s findings have sparked concerns among opposition parties, who have long accused the government of using its control of state resources to unfairly tilt the electoral playing field in favor of the Civil Contract party.
In response to the CRRC poll, Pashinyan’s administration has pointed to the party’s commitment to reform and its track record of implementing policies that have boosted Armenia’s economy and raised living standards for citizens.
The opposition, meanwhile, has vowed to continue its campaign to mobilize voters and push for greater electoral transparency. However, the outlook for success appears to be increasingly bleak, given the opposition’s failure to unite behind a single leader or cohesive platform.
In the face of these challenges, Armenia’s opposition parties will be forced to regroup and reassess their strategic approach ahead of the June 7 election. However, based on the CRRC poll, it seems increasingly likely that the Civil Contract party will emerge victorious, paving the way for Pashinyan’s administration to secure a second consecutive term in power.