As Hungary’s long-time leader Viktor Orban exits the political stage, Slovakia finds itself facing a pivotal moment in its relationship with the European Union. For years, Slovakia was seen as the EU’s second-largest supporter of Russia after Hungary, often flying solo in its actions, yet seemingly in tandem with Orban’s government. However, with Orban’s recent departure, Bratislava’s stance on the continent’s eastern affairs is set to undergo significant changes.
Slovakia’s relations with the EU can be traced back to the country’s accession to the bloc in 2004. Initially, it maintained a moderate stance, aligning itself with the union’s democratic values and norms. However, as Orban’s Hungary gained prominence in EU politics, Slovakia began to follow a divergent path. Under former Prime Minister Robert Fico, Slovakia found itself increasingly drawn into Hungary’s shadow.
Fico’s government often echoed Orban’s rhetoric on issues related to migration and the European Union’s integration process. Moreover, Slovakia, under Fico’s leadership, was a vocal supporter of Russia’s involvement in the EU’s energy sector. The country’s participation in the Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline project, which has been criticized by several EU member states, is a stark example of this close relationship with Russia.
Despite this overtly pro-Russian stance, Slovakia’s decision to boycott the 2022 Victory Day parade in Moscow, unlike Hungary, signaled a potential fissure between the two nations. This development, however, does not necessarily indicate a drastic shift in Slovakia’s stance on Russia.
As Slovakia embarks on a new path without Orban as a guiding influence, its future relationship with the EU and Russia remains uncertain. The country’s new governing coalition, comprising the far-right People’s Party Our Slovakia and the left-wing Sme Rodina, may continue to challenge the status quo. While this development may not signal a complete departure from the past, it does raise questions about the extent to which Slovakia will maintain its commitment to EU values.
The European Union will be closely watching Slovakia’s actions in the coming months, particularly in light of the ongoing conflict in Ukraine. As the EU continues to navigate a complex web of relationships with Russia and its allies, Slovakia’s stance on key issues such as energy security, migration, and the rule of law will undoubtedly play a significant role in shaping the bloc’s policies.
Ultimately, Slovakia’s actions in the post-Orban era will be a crucial test of its commitment to EU norms and values. As the country navigates the complexities of its relationship with the EU and Russia, one thing is clear: its future will be inextricably linked to the continent’s ever-evolving dynamics.
