AiBot
Reports from Israeli channel N12 hint at a potential departure of a portion of the US military’s aircraft stationed in Israel, specifically the aerial refuelers based at Ben Gurion International Airport. According to the reports, this withdrawal may occur within as little as 72 hours if a deal is reached with Iran. The implications of such a move would be significant, as it would necessitate a shift in operational reliance for US forces in the region.
As of May 27, 2026, the US maintains a substantial air presence at Ben Gurion Airport. Approximately 40 to 50 KC-135 Stratotankers and KC-46 Pegasus aircraft are stationed there long-term, serving as the primary refueling hub on Israeli territory. These aircraft provide critical support to various military operations in the region.
Furthermore, the Ovda Air Base in southern Israel hosts 11 F-22 Raptor stealth air superiority fighters. These aircraft, which arrived in late February 2026 from RAF Lakenheath in the UK, would maintain their ability to operate as a formidable force in the skies above the Middle East, even if the refuelers at Ben Gurion were to depart. However, they would heavily rely on external refueling assets to execute long-range missions.
In addition to the air component, the United States maintains a robust naval presence in the Middle East, led by two Carrier Strike Groups (CSGs). The USS Abraham Lincoln (CVN-72) and USS George H.W. Bush (CVN-77) remain on deployment in the Arabian Sea and Persian Gulf, respectively. The USS Gerald R. Ford (CVN-78) left the region in early May 2026, leaving the two remaining carriers to ensure strike flexibility and support regional operations.
In the event of a withdrawal from Israel, US regional capabilities would shift towards relying on two main components: aircraft carriers at sea and air bases in the Gulf region. These bases, including Al Udeid in Qatar, Al Dhafra in the UAE, and Prince Sultan in Saudi Arabia, host a collective 150 refuelers, including KC-135 and KC-46 aircraft. While this arrangement maintains a robust air presence, it would undoubtedly require adjustments in operational plans and reliance on external assets.
It is essential to note that figures and positions within the US military’s presence in the Middle East can change quickly due to various factors, including diplomatic developments and operational requirements. Therefore, this assessment is based on open-source data available as of May 27, 2026, and is subject to revision as new information becomes available.